The green shoots for the May market

As we delve into May, Sydney’s property market appears poised for a long-awaited revival after a stagnant 2025. With only a meagre 0.9% growth reported by Cotality (formerly CoreLogic), the Emerald City has seen little to write home about in terms of property appreciation. The past months have been turbulent, marked by a federal election, tariff wars, a volatile share market, and the Easter break intertwined with Anzac Day – events that paused many prospective buyers in their tracks, leaving them in a state of indecision.

However, as we transition into May, glimmers of optimism begin to emerge. The backdrop of falling inflation could signal a green light for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to implement a cash rate cut, potentially reducing rates by at least 25 basis points this month. Financial commentator. Stephen Koukoulas, has gone a step further, advocating for a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction, suggesting that a neutral cash rate should ideally sit between 3 to 3.25% – an attractive proposition, considering our current standing.

Moreover, as we approach winter, we are likely to witness tighter listing levels, further constraining the supply of properties available for sale. Coupled with a falling cash rate, this scenario could bolster buyer confidence and improve borrowing power. As the balance between supply and demand begins to tilt in favour of sellers, we may be on the cusp of a significant shift in market dynamics.

Despite ongoing global economic uncertainty, local mortgage holders and potential buyers are eager to alleviate their cash flow burdens. A decrease in interest rates significantly enhances the appeal of property purchases, making it a more viable option for those previously hesitant to engage in the market.

As we look ahead, it’s clear that May will bring a better landscape than April. The potential for not just a marginal improvement, but a noticeable shift in overall sentiment and market strength is tangible. While it may take another rate cut or two to fully harness this momentum, the direction is promising.

Savvy buyers should be attuned to these evolving conditions and act promptly, as the landscape may shift away from them holding the position of power, which has been evident in recent months. For sellers, this could signal a transition towards more favourable trading conditions, with the possibility of increased buyer interest as a clearer pathway emerges and more favourable lending terms fall into place.

In our view, the green shoots of opportunity are sprouting in Sydney’s property market this month. The combination of falling rates, tightening supply, and improving sentiment should revitalise the landscape. While it may not be immediately evident and a few things still need to fall in place, we are seeing enough to feel confident the market is moving into an improved space.